The Fenwick & West Venture Capital Barometer analyzed the valuations and terms of venture financings for 107 Silicon Valley-based technology and life science companies that reported raising capital during the third quarter.
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“The likely reason for this is that the venture model is currently out of equilibrium,” said Barry Kramer, a partner of Fenwick & West and co-author of the survey.
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“Even though venture funds have reduced their investments in companies, they are still investing more than is being invested in venture funds,” he added. “In other words, over the past couple years, venture funds have had a significantly greater outflow of funds than they have had inflow of new capital. This is not sustainable.”
Kramer said that the valuations at which venture capitalists invest continues to be “relatively reasonable and stable,” but that it is likely valuations will start to decline if the amount of venture investment continues to decrease.
During the third quarter of 2010, up rounds (in which the price per share at which a company sells its stock has increased since its prior financing round) exceeded down rounds (in which the price per share at which a company sells its stock has decreased since its prior financing round). 52 percent of rounds were up round, 30 percent were down rounds, and 18 percent were flat.
Last quarter was the fifth consecutive quarter in which up rounds exceeded down rounds.
The survey also found that the usual “hotspots” continue to be popular, with the best-performing industries in the quarter (from a valuation perspective) being internet/digital media and, to a lesser extent, life sciences. But even the amount of funding being poured into those areas continues a downward slide, the data showed.
But, said Kramer, “There is hope, that with liquidity increasing, investments in venture funds will become more appealing, and venture capitalists will be able to raise more money, making more money available for entrepreneurial opportunities.”
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